{"id":188784,"date":"2024-06-21T14:15:42","date_gmt":"2024-06-21T12:15:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/pubblicazioni\/short-and-long-term-projections-of-rossby-wave-packets-and-blocking-events-with-particular-attention-to-the-northern-hemisphere\/"},"modified":"2024-07-02T14:32:08","modified_gmt":"2024-07-02T12:32:08","slug":"short-and-long-term-projections-of-rossby-wave-packets-and-blocking-events-with-particular-attention-to-the-northern-hemisphere","status":"publish","type":"pubblicazioni","link":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/publications\/short-and-long-term-projections-of-rossby-wave-packets-and-blocking-events-with-particular-attention-to-the-northern-hemisphere\/","title":{"rendered":"Short and long-term projections of Rossby wave packets and blocking events with particular attention to the northern hemisphere"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"last-updated-date\">Recently updated on July 2nd, 2024 at 02:32 pm<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The study analyzes the frequency variations of Rossby wave packets and blocking events in response to climate change until the end of the century. Using 10 CMIP6 models, the areas in the Northern Hemisphere most likely affected by changes in these precursors of extreme events have been highlighted.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":93,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"tags":[1405,1318,1320],"targets":[1314],"pubblicazioni_tipologie":[773],"class_list":["post-188784","pubblicazioni","type-pubblicazioni","status-publish","hentry","tag-climate-change","tag-development-scenarios-en","tag-sustainable-development-en","targets-press-media-en","pubblicazioni_tipologie-isi-article-en"],"acf":{"dont_show_hompage":true,"projects":{"ID":188405,"post_author":"93","post_date":"2024-06-13 15:10:12","post_date_gmt":"2024-06-13 13:10:12","post_content":"","post_title":"Resilience and Security for Energy Systems","post_excerpt":"The goal of the project is to increase the security and resilience of the energy system in the face of greater environmental threats due to climate change, through the development of tools to support institutions and operators and the definition of an optimal set of actions to be adopted for this purpose.","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"resilience-and-security-for-energy-systems","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-07-02 10:30:30","post_modified_gmt":"2024-07-02 08:30:30","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/progetti\/resilience-and-security-for-energy-systems\/","menu_order":0,"post_type":"progetti","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},"order_posts":"","dont_show_search":false,"related_posts":false,"show_on_slider":false,"single_post_data":{"titolo_spot":"","post_content":"<p>This study aims to investigate the frequency variations of Rossby wave packets and atmospheric blocking events, which are of great interest as precursors to extreme weather events. These atmospheric configurations, whose evolutions can be dynamically linked, were studied using established methodologies applied to ERA5 reanalysis and 10 CMIP6 models. After verifying the ensemble performance of the models in reconstructing the historical period from 1986 to 2005 compared to ERA5 climatology, future variations in the short term (2021 &#8211; 2040) and long term (2081 &#8211; 2100) were analyzed on a seasonal scale for the &#8220;business as usual&#8221; ssp585 scenario.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Despite a general underestimation by CMIP6 models in calculating the frequency of Rossby wave packets and blocking events, this study identified some areas more likely to be affected by changes in these atmospheric structures linked to climate change in the northern hemisphere. Specifically, some long-term change signals are expected. The results highlight a significant increase in the frequency of wave packets and a slight increase in atmospheric blocking events over Eastern Europe and neighboring Asian regions, with a significant reduction in blocks over Greenland, parts of the Pacific, and northwestern Europe in winter.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>An increase in Rossby wave packets is expected in spring over Europe and western Asia, while a decrease is anticipated for other seasons\/regions. There is no clear climatic signal regarding the evolution of blocking events in the summer season.<\/p>\n","scarica_file":false,"link_estreno":[{"link_text":"Download Publication","link":"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S0921818122000170?via%3Dihub"}],"button":{"text":"","link":""},"referente_group":false,"data_emissione":"2022-01-18","autori":"A. Trevisiol, P. Faggian (RSE S.p.A.), L. Gilli (Envitech Ambiente e Tecnologie S.r.l.)","destinazione":"Global and Planetary Change, Vol. 209, N. , 103750, January 18, 2022","rif_rse":"21004669"},"satellite_post_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Short and long-term projections of Rossby wave packets and blocking events with particular attention to the northern hemisphere - RSE<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/publications\/short-and-long-term-projections-of-rossby-wave-packets-and-blocking-events-with-particular-attention-to-the-northern-hemisphere\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Short and long-term projections of Rossby wave packets and blocking events with particular attention to the northern hemisphere - RSE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The study analyzes the frequency variations of Rossby wave packets and blocking events in response to climate change until the end of the century. Using 10 CMIP6 models, the areas in the Northern Hemisphere most likely affected by changes in these precursors of extreme events have been highlighted.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/publications\/short-and-long-term-projections-of-rossby-wave-packets-and-blocking-events-with-particular-attention-to-the-northern-hemisphere\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"RSE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-07-02T12:32:08+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/publications\/short-and-long-term-projections-of-rossby-wave-packets-and-blocking-events-with-particular-attention-to-the-northern-hemisphere\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/publications\/short-and-long-term-projections-of-rossby-wave-packets-and-blocking-events-with-particular-attention-to-the-northern-hemisphere\/\",\"name\":\"Short and long-term projections of Rossby wave packets and blocking events with particular attention to the northern hemisphere - RSE\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2024-06-21T12:15:42+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-07-02T12:32:08+00:00\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/publications\/short-and-long-term-projections-of-rossby-wave-packets-and-blocking-events-with-particular-attention-to-the-northern-hemisphere\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/publications\/short-and-long-term-projections-of-rossby-wave-packets-and-blocking-events-with-particular-attention-to-the-northern-hemisphere\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/publications\/short-and-long-term-projections-of-rossby-wave-packets-and-blocking-events-with-particular-attention-to-the-northern-hemisphere\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"Short and long-term projections of Rossby wave packets and blocking events with particular attention to the northern hemisphere\"}]},{\"@type\":\"WebSite\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/#website\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/\",\"name\":\"RSE\",\"description\":\"\",\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/#organization\"},\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"SearchAction\",\"target\":{\"@type\":\"EntryPoint\",\"urlTemplate\":\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/?s={search_term_string}\"},\"query-input\":{\"@type\":\"PropertyValueSpecification\",\"valueRequired\":true,\"valueName\":\"search_term_string\"}}],\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\"},{\"@type\":\"Organization\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/#organization\",\"name\":\"RSE\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/\",\"logo\":{\"@type\":\"ImageObject\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/cropped-logo_rse_2022.png\",\"contentUrl\":\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/cropped-logo_rse_2022.png\",\"width\":734,\"height\":164,\"caption\":\"RSE\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/\"}}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Short and long-term projections of Rossby wave packets and blocking events with particular attention to the northern hemisphere - RSE","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"canonical":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/publications\/short-and-long-term-projections-of-rossby-wave-packets-and-blocking-events-with-particular-attention-to-the-northern-hemisphere\/","og_locale":"en_US","og_type":"article","og_title":"Short and long-term projections of Rossby wave packets and blocking events with particular attention to the northern hemisphere - RSE","og_description":"The study analyzes the frequency variations of Rossby wave packets and blocking events in response to climate change until the end of the century. Using 10 CMIP6 models, the areas in the Northern Hemisphere most likely affected by changes in these precursors of extreme events have been highlighted.","og_url":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/publications\/short-and-long-term-projections-of-rossby-wave-packets-and-blocking-events-with-particular-attention-to-the-northern-hemisphere\/","og_site_name":"RSE","article_modified_time":"2024-07-02T12:32:08+00:00","twitter_card":"summary_large_image","schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/publications\/short-and-long-term-projections-of-rossby-wave-packets-and-blocking-events-with-particular-attention-to-the-northern-hemisphere\/","url":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/publications\/short-and-long-term-projections-of-rossby-wave-packets-and-blocking-events-with-particular-attention-to-the-northern-hemisphere\/","name":"Short and long-term projections of Rossby wave packets and blocking events with particular attention to the northern hemisphere - RSE","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/#website"},"datePublished":"2024-06-21T12:15:42+00:00","dateModified":"2024-07-02T12:32:08+00:00","breadcrumb":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/publications\/short-and-long-term-projections-of-rossby-wave-packets-and-blocking-events-with-particular-attention-to-the-northern-hemisphere\/#breadcrumb"},"inLanguage":"en-US","potentialAction":[{"@type":"ReadAction","target":["https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/publications\/short-and-long-term-projections-of-rossby-wave-packets-and-blocking-events-with-particular-attention-to-the-northern-hemisphere\/"]}]},{"@type":"BreadcrumbList","@id":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/publications\/short-and-long-term-projections-of-rossby-wave-packets-and-blocking-events-with-particular-attention-to-the-northern-hemisphere\/#breadcrumb","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Home","item":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/"},{"@type":"ListItem","position":2,"name":"Short and long-term projections of Rossby wave packets and blocking events with particular attention to the northern hemisphere"}]},{"@type":"WebSite","@id":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/#website","url":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/","name":"RSE","description":"","publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/#organization"},"potentialAction":[{"@type":"SearchAction","target":{"@type":"EntryPoint","urlTemplate":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/?s={search_term_string}"},"query-input":{"@type":"PropertyValueSpecification","valueRequired":true,"valueName":"search_term_string"}}],"inLanguage":"en-US"},{"@type":"Organization","@id":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/#organization","name":"RSE","url":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","inLanguage":"en-US","@id":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/","url":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/cropped-logo_rse_2022.png","contentUrl":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/01\/cropped-logo_rse_2022.png","width":734,"height":164,"caption":"RSE"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/#\/schema\/logo\/image\/"}}]}},"publishpress_future_workflow_manual_trigger":{"enabledWorkflows":[]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pubblicazioni\/188784","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pubblicazioni"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/pubblicazioni"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/93"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=188784"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pubblicazioni\/188784\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":189069,"href":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pubblicazioni\/188784\/revisions\/189069"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=188784"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=188784"},{"taxonomy":"targets","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/targets?post=188784"},{"taxonomy":"pubblicazioni_tipologie","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pubblicazioni_tipologie?post=188784"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}