{"id":188800,"date":"2024-06-21T14:15:45","date_gmt":"2024-06-21T12:15:45","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/pubblicazioni\/progress-in-regional-pv-power-forecasting-a-sensitivity-analysis-on-the-italian-case-study\/"},"modified":"2024-07-02T14:30:34","modified_gmt":"2024-07-02T12:30:34","slug":"progress-in-regional-pv-power-forecasting-a-sensitivity-analysis-on-the-italian-case-study","status":"publish","type":"pubblicazioni","link":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/publications\/progress-in-regional-pv-power-forecasting-a-sensitivity-analysis-on-the-italian-case-study\/","title":{"rendered":"Progress in regional PV power forecasting: A sensitivity analysis on the Italian case study"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"last-updated-date\">Recently updated on July 2nd, 2024 at 02:30 pm<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The article presents the study carried out in collaboration with partners from the IEA PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME (PVPS) for comparing and analyzing area-based photovoltaic production forecasting methodologies applied in Italy.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":93,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"tags":[1328],"targets":[1314,1317],"pubblicazioni_tipologie":[773],"class_list":["post-188800","pubblicazioni","type-pubblicazioni","status-publish","hentry","tag-photovoltaics","targets-press-media-en","targets-research","pubblicazioni_tipologie-isi-article-en"],"acf":{"dont_show_hompage":true,"projects":{"ID":188410,"post_author":"93","post_date":"2024-06-13 15:10:23","post_date_gmt":"2024-06-13 13:10:23","post_content":"","post_title":"Flexibility of Integrated Energy Systems","post_excerpt":"Promote the development of an integrated energy system where all actors participate in maintaining system adequacy through the provision of flexibility services that enable the increase of renewable generation and the transition to a decarbonized energy system.","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"flexibility-of-integrated-energy-systems","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-07-02 10:26:55","post_modified_gmt":"2024-07-02 08:26:55","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/progetti\/flexibility-of-integrated-energy-systems\/","menu_order":0,"post_type":"progetti","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},"order_posts":"","dont_show_search":false,"related_posts":false,"show_on_slider":false,"single_post_data":{"titolo_spot":"","post_content":"<p>The increasing penetration of photovoltaics demands accurate production forecasting to mitigate negative effects associated with intrinsic variability, such as overgeneration, grid instability, and additional reserve demand. This study presents a comparison among six different forecasting models applied to six Italian market zones over one year.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The study reveals that forecast accuracy is primarily influenced by the algorithm and its pre- and post-processing, showing a performance accuracy range of 30%. Forecast horizon has a lesser impact on accuracy. It is demonstrated that larger forecasting areas result in less impact on accuracy due to the non-uniform spatial distribution and capacity of the photovoltaic parks.<\/p>\n","scarica_file":false,"link_estreno":[{"link_text":"Download Publication","link":"https:\/\/www.sciencedirect.com\/science\/article\/pii\/S0960148122003184"}],"button":{"text":"","link":""},"referente_group":false,"data_emissione":"2022-04-30","autori":"M. Pierro, D. Moser, (EURAC Research), D. Gentili, F. R. Liolli, C. Cornaro, (University of Rome), A. Betti, M. Moschella (i-EM S.r.l,), E. Collino, D. Ronzio (RSE S.p.A.), D. van der Meer (CHOSE) ","destinazione":"Renewable Energy, Vol. 189, April 30, 2022, Pages 983-996","rif_rse":"22003837"},"satellite_post_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Progress in regional PV power forecasting: A sensitivity analysis on the Italian case study - RSE<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/publications\/progress-in-regional-pv-power-forecasting-a-sensitivity-analysis-on-the-italian-case-study\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Progress in regional PV power forecasting: A sensitivity analysis on the Italian case study - RSE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The article presents the study carried out in collaboration with partners from the IEA PHOTOVOLTAIC POWER SYSTEMS PROGRAMME (PVPS) for comparing and analyzing area-based photovoltaic production forecasting methodologies applied in Italy.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/publications\/progress-in-regional-pv-power-forecasting-a-sensitivity-analysis-on-the-italian-case-study\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"RSE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-07-02T12:30:34+00:00\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/publications\/progress-in-regional-pv-power-forecasting-a-sensitivity-analysis-on-the-italian-case-study\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/publications\/progress-in-regional-pv-power-forecasting-a-sensitivity-analysis-on-the-italian-case-study\/\",\"name\":\"Progress in regional PV power forecasting: A sensitivity analysis on the Italian case study - 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