{"id":188867,"date":"2024-06-21T14:15:58","date_gmt":"2024-06-21T12:15:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/pubblicazioni\/future-projections-and-return-levels-of-wet-snowload-on-overhead-high-voltage-conductors\/"},"modified":"2024-07-02T14:21:35","modified_gmt":"2024-07-02T12:21:35","slug":"future-projections-and-return-levels-of-wet-snowload-on-overhead-high-voltage-conductors","status":"publish","type":"pubblicazioni","link":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/publications\/future-projections-and-return-levels-of-wet-snowload-on-overhead-high-voltage-conductors\/","title":{"rendered":"Future projections and return levels of wet-snowload on overhead high voltage conductors"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"last-updated-date\">Recently updated on July 2nd, 2024 at 02:21 pm<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Heavy snowfalls can have serious effects on the national transmission and distribution network, as they can trigger the formation of ice sleeves on overhead power lines. The weight of these sleeves can cause failures and consequently interruptions to energy supply. Using 12 high-resolution spatial Euro-CORDEX climate models, future projections for the periods 2021-2040, 2031-2050, 2041-2060 indicate that wet-snow phenomena are expected to decrease, as snowfalls transform into rain due to global warming. However, wet-snow events are projected to intensify in higher Alpine regions.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":93,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"tags":[1318,1320],"targets":[1317],"pubblicazioni_tipologie":[778],"class_list":["post-188867","pubblicazioni","type-pubblicazioni","status-publish","hentry","tag-development-scenarios-en","tag-sustainable-development-en","targets-research","pubblicazioni_tipologie-paper-en"],"acf":{"dont_show_hompage":true,"projects":{"ID":188405,"post_author":"93","post_date":"2024-06-13 15:10:12","post_date_gmt":"2024-06-13 13:10:12","post_content":"","post_title":"Resilience and Security for Energy Systems","post_excerpt":"The goal of the project is to increase the security and resilience of the energy system in the face of greater environmental threats due to climate change, through the development of tools to support institutions and operators and the definition of an optimal set of actions to be adopted for this purpose.","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"resilience-and-security-for-energy-systems","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-07-02 10:30:30","post_modified_gmt":"2024-07-02 08:30:30","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/progetti\/resilience-and-security-for-energy-systems\/","menu_order":0,"post_type":"progetti","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},"order_posts":"","dont_show_search":false,"related_posts":false,"show_on_slider":false,"single_post_data":{"titolo_spot":"","post_content":"<p>Wet snow conditions trigger the formation of ice sleeves on overhead power lines and contribute to heavy snowfalls, which can cause severe infrastructural damage and consequently prolonged interruptions to the National Transmission Network. To develop action plans aimed at strengthening Power Network resilience, probability maps regarding ice sleeve formation and their loads on overhead power lines have been developed. Future scenarios for Italy were calculated based on 12 high-resolution Euro-CORDEX models (spatial resolution ~12 km), assuming a \u201cBusiness-As-Usual\u201d scenario (RCP8.5).<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The meteorological reanalysis MERIDA (spatial resolution 4 km), covering the period 1990-2020, was used to correct model data using Extreme Value Analysis techniques. The MERIDA dataset was also utilized to implement the \u201cMakkonen\u201d model to describe ice sleeve growth on high-voltage lines. After validating the code by correlating results with failures recorded by the transmission network during particularly significant events, climate model outputs were used to estimate ice sleeve formation up to 2060 and derive future scenarios. Probability maps were developed using Extreme Value Analysis statistical techniques to describe expected values in twenty-year intervals centered on 2020, 2030, 2040, and 2050.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The results underscore that such phenomena are generally expected to decrease as snowfalls transition to precipitation due to global warming. However, if ice loads are expected to decrease at mid-low altitudes, these events may intensify in higher Alpine regions because, in warmer climates, temperatures between -1.0\u00b0C and +1.5\u00b0C will be more likely, thus allowing wet snow events at altitudes previously spared due to typical cold temperatures.<\/p>\n","scarica_file":false,"link_estreno":[{"link_text":"Download Publication","link":"https:\/\/www.mcgill.ca\/iwais2022\/files\/iwais2022\/paperid012.pdf"}],"button":{"text":"","link":""},"referente_group":false,"data_emissione":"2022-06-23","autori":"P. Faggian, G. Decimi, E. Ciapessoni (RSE S.p.A.), F. Marzullo, F. Scavo (Terna S.p.A.)","destinazione":"IWAIS 2022 International Workshop on Atmospheric Icing of Structures, Online June 19-23, 2022","rif_rse":"22010378"},"satellite_post_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Future projections and return levels of wet-snowload on overhead high voltage conductors - RSE<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/publications\/future-projections-and-return-levels-of-wet-snowload-on-overhead-high-voltage-conductors\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Future projections and return levels of wet-snowload on overhead high voltage conductors - RSE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Heavy snowfalls can have serious effects on the national transmission and distribution network, as they can trigger the formation of ice sleeves on overhead power lines. 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