{"id":192492,"date":"2024-08-28T11:30:17","date_gmt":"2024-08-28T09:30:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/pubblicazioni\/future-precipitation-scenarios-for-italy\/"},"modified":"2024-08-30T14:42:20","modified_gmt":"2024-08-30T12:42:20","slug":"future-precipitation-scenarios-for-italy","status":"publish","type":"pubblicazioni","link":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/publications\/future-precipitation-scenarios-for-italy\/","title":{"rendered":"Future precipitation scenarios for Italy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"last-updated-date\">Recently updated on August 30th, 2024 at 02:42 pm<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Future scenarios related to climate extremes, such as droughts and floods, were developed based on a set of high-resolution Euro-CORDEX models under three different radiative forcings (RCPs): drought conditions and extreme precipitation are likely to exacerbate in the coming decades without mitigation (RCP8.5); they will be less critical if partial mitigation actions are undertaken (RCP 4.5) and are expected to be significantly reduced with decarbonization policies (RCP 2.6).<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":93,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"tags":[1405,1310,1318,1320],"targets":[],"pubblicazioni_tipologie":[772],"class_list":["post-192492","pubblicazioni","type-pubblicazioni","status-publish","hentry","tag-climate-change","tag-decarbonization","tag-development-scenarios-en","tag-sustainable-development-en","pubblicazioni_tipologie-article-en"],"acf":{"projects":{"ID":191053,"post_author":"464","post_date":"2024-07-10 16:51:45","post_date_gmt":"2024-07-10 14:51:45","post_content":"","post_title":"Models and tools for interventions, including preventive interventions, for defending and improving grid security and resilience","post_excerpt":"Models and tools for interventions, including preventive interventions, for defending and improving grid security and resilience","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"models-and-tools-for-interventions-including-preventive-interventions-for-defending-and-improving-grid-security-and-resilience","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-08-09 16:02:23","post_modified_gmt":"2024-08-09 14:02:23","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/progetti\/models-and-tools-for-interventions-including-preventive-interventions-for-defending-and-improving-grid-security-and-resilience\/","menu_order":0,"post_type":"progetti","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},"order_posts":"","dont_show_search":false,"related_posts":false,"dont_show_hompage":false,"show_on_slider":false,"single_post_data":{"titolo_spot":"","post_content":"<p>The response of the Earth&#8217;s hydrological cycle to global warming is a topic of interest for RSE, as the energy system depends heavily on weather conditions. Since critical infrastructures have lifespans of several decades, the aim of the study (<a>https:\/\/www.mdpi.com\/2073-4441\/13\/10\/1335<\/a>) is to provide updated projections, on a seasonal scale, relative to the rainfall regime for Italy. Based on a set of Euro-CORDEX models (spatial resolution of approximately 12 km), under three different radiative forcing hypotheses (RCP8.5, RCP4.5 and RCP 2.6), several short-term (2021- 2050), medium-term (2041-2070) and long-term (2071-2100) climate scenarios were developed to characterize, in particular, dry conditions and extreme precipitation using two ETCCDI indices (CDD and R99PTOT). Despite some uncertainties (related to certain discrepancies between models), an exacerbation of dry periods and extreme precipitation in the coming decades is very likely under a business as usual hypothesis (RCP 8.5). These conditions will be less critical if partial mitigation actions are undertaken (RCP4.5) and will be significantly reduced with decarbonization policies (RCP 2.6).<\/p>\n","scarica_file":[{"download_option":"download","file_name":"Download Article","download":{"ID":170774,"id":170774,"title":"21007260","filename":"21007260.pdf","filesize":68107,"url":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/21007260.pdf","link":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/pubblicazioni\/scenari-futuri-di-precipitazione-sullitalia\/attachment\/21007260\/","alt":"","author":"93","description":"","caption":"","name":"21007260","status":"inherit","uploaded_to":170773,"date":"2022-08-05 07:06:43","modified":"2022-08-05 07:06:43","menu_order":0,"mime_type":"application\/pdf","type":"application","subtype":"pdf","icon":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/wp-includes\/images\/media\/document.png"}}],"link_estreno":false,"button":{"text":"","link":""},"referente_group":false,"data_emissione":"2021-08-05","autori":"P. Faggian (RSE S.p.A.)","destinazione":"AMPRO - Associazione Meteo Professionisti, August 5, 2021","rif_rse":"21007260"},"satellite_post_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Future precipitation scenarios for Italy - RSE<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/publications\/future-precipitation-scenarios-for-italy\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Future precipitation scenarios for Italy - RSE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Future scenarios related to climate extremes, such as droughts and floods, were developed based on a set of high-resolution Euro-CORDEX models under three different radiative forcings (RCPs): drought conditions and extreme precipitation are likely to exacerbate in the coming decades without mitigation (RCP8.5); 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