{"id":203720,"date":"2025-05-20T13:46:01","date_gmt":"2025-05-20T11:46:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/pubblicazioni\/scenari-di-disponibilita-di-risorsa-idrica-futura-in-italia-per-effetto-dei-cambiamenti-climatici\/"},"modified":"2025-05-20T13:46:53","modified_gmt":"2025-05-20T11:46:53","slug":"scenari-di-disponibilita-di-risorsa-idrica-futura-in-italia-per-effetto-dei-cambiamenti-climatici","status":"publish","type":"pubblicazioni","link":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/publications\/scenari-di-disponibilita-di-risorsa-idrica-futura-in-italia-per-effetto-dei-cambiamenti-climatici\/","title":{"rendered":"Scenari di disponibilit\u00e0 di risorsa idrica futura in Italia per effetto dei cambiamenti climatici"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><tbody><tr><td><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Runoff projections in Italy for the period 2021-2100 were analyzed, generated from an ensemble of 18 climate scenarios from which a strong variability of the effects of climate change on the territory was found, with more considerable impacts in Southern Italy and in the islands. From the comparison between the various emission scenarios it can be deduced that the mitigation effort is fundamental to maintain the stationarity of water availability in the territory.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":93,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"tags":[1405,1410,1308,1307],"targets":[1317],"pubblicazioni_tipologie":[778],"class_list":["post-203720","pubblicazioni","type-pubblicazioni","status-publish","hentry","tag-climate-change","tag-electric-market","tag-hydroelectric-en","tag-renewable-energy-en","targets-research","pubblicazioni_tipologie-paper-en"],"acf":{"dont_show_hompage":true,"projects":{"ID":188408,"post_author":"93","post_date":"2024-06-13 15:10:18","post_date_gmt":"2024-06-13 13:10:18","post_content":"","post_title":"Integration of renewable energy into the land and environment","post_excerpt":"The goal of the project is to develop methodologies and analyses that, starting from the characterization of technologies and with an integrated approach, provide support for energy planning, taking into account technical, economic, environmental and regulatory aspects and possible hybridization and integration.","post_status":"publish","comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","post_password":"","post_name":"integration-of-renewable-energy-into-the-land-and-environment","to_ping":"","pinged":"","post_modified":"2024-07-12 11:06:31","post_modified_gmt":"2024-07-12 09:06:31","post_content_filtered":"","post_parent":0,"guid":"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/progetti\/energy-from-renewable-sources-and-integration-in-the-territory\/","menu_order":0,"post_type":"progetti","post_mime_type":"","comment_count":"0","filter":"raw"},"order_posts":"","dont_show_search":false,"related_posts":false,"show_on_slider":false,"single_post_data":{"titolo_spot":"","post_content":"<p>With the aim of estimating the short and long-term effects of climate change on hydroelectric producibility, strongly correlated to surface runoff, trajectories of the latter variable up to 2100 were generated, for each area of the Italian electricity market, in response to different climate scenarios. Eighteen projections of monthly precipitation and average monthly temperature were used as input to the distributed hydrological balance model BIGBANG, which provided projections of the components of the hydrological balance, including runoff.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Based on the results obtained, it is highlighted how climatic variations affect the water resource in a non-uniform way between the different areas of the Italian territory, recording increasingly significant percentage decreases moving towards the South. The uncertainty deriving from the emission scenarios is certainly preponderant compared to the modeling one, highlighting how the climate change mitigation measures typical of the RCP 2.6 scenario led to an overall stability of the system, predicting increases (however modest) in the availability of the resource on the territory.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>On the contrary, in the case of the RCP 8.5 business as usual scenario, the effects of hydro-meteorological alterations are much more relevant, so much so that in the areas of the South, where the historical values are already currently reduced compared to the rest of the country, they would prefigure conditions of extreme water crises.<\/p>\n","scarica_file":false,"link_estreno":[{"link_text":"Download Publication","link":"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/05\/Scenari-di-disponibilita-di-risorsa-idrica-futura-in-Italia-per-effetto-dei-cambiamenti-climatici.pdf"}],"button":{"text":"","link":""},"referente_group":false,"data_emissione":"2024-09-18","autori":"L. Mancusi, A. Amaranto (RSE S.p. A.), G. Braca ( (Istituto Superiore per la Protezione e la Ricerca Ambientale (ISPRA) ","destinazione":"IDRA 2024 XXXIX Convegno Nazionale di Idraulica e Costruzioni Idrauliche, Parma 15-18 Settembre 2024","rif_rse":""},"satellite_post_url":""},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Scenari di disponibilit\u00e0 di risorsa idrica futura in Italia per effetto dei cambiamenti climatici - RSE<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.rse-web.it\/en\/publications\/scenari-di-disponibilita-di-risorsa-idrica-futura-in-italia-per-effetto-dei-cambiamenti-climatici\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Scenari di disponibilit\u00e0 di risorsa idrica futura in Italia per effetto dei cambiamenti climatici - RSE\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Runoff projections in Italy for the period 2021-2100 were analyzed, generated from an ensemble of 18 climate scenarios from which a strong variability of the effects of climate change on the territory was found, with more considerable impacts in Southern Italy and in the islands. 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