The report describes the activities relating to studies and scenario analyses on the medium to long-term development of the national electricity and energy system, carried out taking into consideration the most current issues of particular interest for institutional entities and for the main stakeholders of the energy system and energy markets.

In December 2019, the European Commission presented the new “Green Deal” European program with which the EU intends to achieve climate neutrality in 2050 by defining new, more ambitious objectives for 2030.

In 2020, RSE developed an energy scenario that was later named “Green Deal”. This scenario analyzes the impact of raising the decarbonization target to 2030 according to the European climate-energy policy that aims to achieve climate neutrality. The work is part of the support activity for the governance of the energy system that RSE has been providing to institutions for years.

In defining the new national energy scenario, built with a view to the European Green Deal program to increase emissions reduction targets, the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on energy scenarios were taken into account by analyzing the main effects on energy demand and possible repercussions in the medium and long term. The objectives of the Green Deal energy scenario will require additional efforts compared to the decarbonisation path defined by the integrated National Energy and Climate Plan (NECP) with first applications of the hydrogen carrier and CO2 capture and storage to be available as early as 2030.
The electricity system will be particularly involved in the transformation process. The impact analyses on the electricity system of the Green Deal scenario showed the growing need to resort to new flexibility resources for the safe operation of the system. The results also showed the opportunity to introduce new carrier, such as hydrogen, into the energy system, as they are necessary to decarbonize those sectors that have most limited possibility to reduce emissions.