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Publications - ISI Article

How can green hydrogen from North Africa support EU decarbonization?Scenario analyses on competitive pathways for trade

Publications - ISI Article

How can green hydrogen from North Africa support EU decarbonization?Scenario analyses on competitive pathways for trade

The research aims to assess to what extent green hydrogen trade from North Africa can support the European decarbonization. Scenario analyses are elaborated on the JRC-EU-TIMES model, to discuss if and how uncertainty on importable amounts, production and transport costs affect competitiveness.

The carbon-neutrality target set by the European Union by 2050 drives the increasing relevance of green hydrogen as key player in the transition. This work uses the JRC-EU-TIMES energy system model to assess opportunities and challenges for green hydrogen trade from North Africa to Europe, analyzing to what extent it can support its decarbonization.

 

An important novelty is addressing uncertainty regarding hydrogen economy development. Alternative scenarios are built on volumes available for import, production costs and transport options (i.e. pipelines and ships), according to favorable market conditions or pessimistic ones. From 2040 on, all available North African hydrogen is imported regardless of its costs.

 

In Europe this imported hydrogen is mainly converted into synfuels and heat. The study aims to support policymakers to implement effective strategies, focusing on the crucial role of green hydrogen in the decarbonization process, if new competitive cooperations are developed.

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