Page 80 - RSE - Results of the Apollon Project

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CPv Possible development Scenarios

(ASSE, CPOWER, ENEL)

Recent market research foresees a further growth in CPV in the coming years. CPV however will remain a niche
market (1% of the overall PV-sector), for ground-mounted systems in areas with DNI >6 kWh/m /day. Recently new
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world records have been announced for TJ-cell effciency and for HCPV-modules. Some companies are installing
huge CPV-plants. On the other hand, several CPV companies are facing economic diffculties.
An energetic and economic comparison is presented between fxed c-Si, tracked c-Si and HCPV for 3 sites with
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DNI = 5.4, 6.2 and 6.9 kWh/m /day. This comparison shows, as expected, that the low prices reached by silicon-based
fat modules make CPV competitiveness a big challenge. The APOLLON project provided a strong contribution in this
direction, even if much development and testing is still required.
A short comparison is also made between three different types of CPV systems, fresnel lens, off-axis mirror and
beam splitting.

Market Expectations for CPV

Notwithstanding the economic recession, the strong competition of conventional c-Si PV, and the diffculties
encountered by many companies of the CPV-sector, market researchers forecast a signifcant and continuous growth
in CPV-installations for the coming 3 to 7 years .
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FiguRE 87. CPV market development scenarios taken from yole [1] (blu lines), CPV-consortium / SPV [2] (red lines)
and recently revised version from SPV [5] (green lines). Continuous lines are the conservative estimate. Dashed
lines in the same colour are the optimistic estimate from the same source (see note 32)

38 [1] www.i-micronews.com/reports/High-Concentration-Photovoltaics-Business-Update-report/5/358.
[2] www.cpvconsortium.org/Portals/0/End of 2012 Newsletter Final--without fnancial.pdf.
[5] www.prweb.com/releases/2013/6/prweb10799856.htm.

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