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An innovative algorithm for the power loads forecasting in Italian transmission grid: development and main results of the PREVEL software of Osmose project

Related tags

#Demand Management #Electricity Network #Monitoring and Control #Photovoltaics #Renewable Energy

Publications - Paper

An innovative algorithm for the power loads forecasting in Italian transmission grid: development and main results of the PREVEL software of Osmose project

As part of the European OSMOSE project, a real-time load forecasting system has been developed and implemented for the nodes in the transmission network of Southern Italy. The forecast has a three-hour horizon and is updated every 15 minutes.

As part of the European OSMOSE project, the Zonal Energy Management System requires a forecast of the loads for each node in the transmission network every 15 minutes for the next three hours. Short-term forecasts are provided using an Analog Ensemble scheme and an autoregressive method, with inputs consisting of the last two months of short-term forecasts and load measurements. The short-term forecasts are derived from a Random Forest algorithm trained using the last four months of meteorological data and load measurements. This article describes the initial results of the ongoing experimentation applied to Southern Italy.

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Rif.RSE​

21008907

Destination​

AEIT International Annual Conference 2nd Virtual Edition, Online 4-8 ottobre 2021

Publication Date

08 October 2021

Authors​

D. A. Ronzio, E. Collino (RSE S.p.A.), G. Lisciandrello, L. Orrù (Terna S.p.A.)

Publication Type

Paper

Projects

Architecture and management models of the electrical system and grids (EvolveNet)

Related tags

#Demand Management #Electricity Network #Monitoring and Control #Photovoltaics #Renewable Energy

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